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Crown Green Handicap

Eric Davies

Team: Rainhill ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

1006

Current Handicap

6
Honours
Season:

56

Matches Played

29

Wins

27

Losses

52%

Win Rate

10.1

Avg Win Margin

11.1

Avg Loss Margin

23-11

Home Record

6-16

Away Record

65%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
33 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/9/2026

A solid recent sample: 33 of 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins29/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 56 matches

+6 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

24 May26 Jul11 Jul9 Jul16 Apr5 Aug9 Jun9 Sept-12510

Gives 6 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current6
Win Percentage(40%)
45%
score-0.09→contribution-0.04
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
11.9
score+0.64→contribution+0.16
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.3
score-0.56→contribution-0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
971
score-0.12→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score+0.029
Sample Size Confidence
65%(33/41 matches)
Rating1009 → shrunk 1006
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)1009
Recency Blend40% (33 recent matches)
Final Rating1007
Handicap
6

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

29W27L56 matches·51.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Rainhill Rec2022–2023Division 22314960.9%
Rainhill Bar A2024–2025Division 11971236.8%
Rainhill A2026Division 1148657.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/9/2026Andy WilkinsonH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
8/19/2026Peter JonesH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
8/12/2026Kevin MoranH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
8/5/2026Phil AspinallH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Alan DoolanA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 1
7/22/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
7/1/2026B HopleyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
6/17/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2026Paul SeddonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
6/2/2026John HornA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
5/26/2026Liam McEganA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1
5/20/2026Jimmy RobyH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
4/29/2026Bob AppletonH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 1
4/7/2026Mike WinrowA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
9/2/2025Stuart HodsonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
8/5/2025David ThompsonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
7/16/2025AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
6/25/2025Graham BakerH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
6/17/2025Alan BarkerA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
6/11/2025Graham BrandH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
6/3/2025Andrew TrimnellA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
5/28/2025Ian HewittH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
4/16/2025Steven ThomasH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
4/9/2025Ray BevingtonH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
4/1/2025Steve JohnsonH2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 1
8/28/2024Phil AspinallH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
8/20/2024Gordon DerbyshireA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
8/14/2024Ray HayesH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
7/23/2024Connor FlahertyA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 1
7/9/2024Andy WilkinsonA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
7/3/2024John MorganH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
5/15/2024Connor FlahertyH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
4/17/2024Mike HitchcoxH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
8/22/2023Phil MillingtonH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2023Walter MillerH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
7/25/2023Lee StringfellowH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023Tommy EvansH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023John LawrensonH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
6/13/2023Richard MartlandA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023J EdwardsH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
8/22/2022Robert ConnollyA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022Michael WhitesideA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Harry SmithH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022John BartonA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022Ray HeskethH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/28/2022Daniel RigbyH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022A WakefieldA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022Anthony PeetH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
6/7/2022A FinneyH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
5/31/2022N BateH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022Peter CookeA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
5/10/2022Paul CulleyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
5/3/2022Richard MartlandA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
4/26/2022Craig BrandA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
4/19/2022David Blackburn-WoodsA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022Andy HayesH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLLW
Last 1060% win rate↓ declining
LWLLWWWWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Absent303100%7/22/2026
Andy Wilkinson0220%9/9/2026
Phil Aspinall11250%8/5/2026
Connor Flaherty0220%7/23/2024
Richard Martland11250%6/13/2023
Peter Jones101100%8/19/2026
Kevin Moran0110%8/12/2026
Alan Doolan101100%7/28/2026
B Hopley101100%7/1/2026
Paul Seddon0110%6/9/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)7/22/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Robert Connolly (-20)8/22/2022
Favourite Victim
Absent3-0 H2H
Best Season
202657% · 14 matches
Worst Season
202536% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
54% → 50%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
96956 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
7-1335% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
22-1461% win rate

By Division

Division 115-18 (45%)
Division 214-9 (61%)
Division 145.5%
15W·18L·33 played
Division 260.9%
14W·9L·23 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 9, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.2 (56 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026